Friday, September 03, 2004

Frances Probabilities

The National Weather Service's 5 a.m. probabilities of Hurricane Frances'
eye moving within 75 miles of these locations:
West Palm Beach or Ft. Pierce 29%, Cocoa Beach 26%, Tampa 20%, Ft. Myers or
Venice 18%

And from the Service's 8 a.m. update (the center is now over Eleuthera
Island in the Bahamas, 60 miles northeast of Nassua)
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MLES...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP O 185 MILES. ELUTHERA RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 MPH AND NASSAU JUST REPORTED A 75 MPH
WIND GUST.

The predicted path will take the storm near Grand Bahama Island about 2 a.m.
Saturday morning, and be offshore near Stuart, Florida about 2 p.m. Saturday
afternoon.

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