Today Donald Trump hosted El Salvador's President at the White House. Some have claimed that country is a dictatorship while others say the country is run as an autocracy. President Nayib Bukele said today that he will not send anyone back to the U.S. that are now in his prisons, in agreement with the policies of the Trump administration, who despite court orders do not want anyone returned back to the U.S.
Since taking office in 2019, Bukele has consolidated power significantly. His Nuevas Ideas party gained control of the Legislative Assembly, which then dismissed and replaced the attorney general and judges on the Supreme Court's constitutional chamber with loyalists. This gives the executive branch considerable influence over the legislative and judicial branches, weakening checks and balances.
El Salvador's constitution explicitly prohibits consecutive presidential terms. However, the Supreme Court judges appointed by his allies reinterpreted the constitution in 2021 to allow Bukele to run for immediate re-election. He subsequently won the February 2024 election by a landslide (claiming over 85% of the vote), a move widely seen by constitutional scholars and human rights groups as illegitimate and undermining democratic norms.
Since March 2022, El Salvador has been under a continuous "state of exception," initially declared to combat intense gang violence. It suspends several constitutional rights, including the right to association, the right to legal counsel, and protections against arbitrary detention.
Under the "state of exception," over 85,000 people have been arrested, often with little evidence or due process, leading El Salvador to have the highest incarceration rate in the world.
Human rights organizations (like Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, Cristosal) have documented widespread abuses, including arbitrary detentions, torture, deaths in custody (over 350 reported by late 2024/early 2025), and inhumane prison conditions, particularly in the new mega-prison, CECOT.
Recent legal reforms have exacerbated concerns, allowing adolescents to be tried as adults and transferred to adult prisons for alleged gang offenses.
Changes to electoral laws shortly before the 2024 election (reducing the number of legislators, changing seat allocation formulas) were seen as benefiting the ruling party. There's also been pressure on independent media, journalists, civil society organizations, and human rights defenders critical of the government, leading to self-censorship and exile for some. Transparency has decreased, with concerns raised about corruption and lack of oversight in government spending.
Freedom House rates El Salvador as "Partly Free" in its 2025 report, noting widespread corruption undermining democracy, executive control over other branches, and human rights abuses under the harsh security response.
V-Dem Institute explains while the latest specific country classification needs verification from their 2025 report details, their overall global reports highlight El Salvador as part of a wave of autocratization, often classifying such regimes as "electoral autocracies."
Freedom House rates El Salvador as "Partly Free" in its 2025 report, noting widespread corruption undermining democracy, executive control over other branches, and human rights abuses under the harsh security response.
V-Dem Institute explains while the latest specific country classification needs verification from their 2025 report details, their overall global reports highlight El Salvador as part of a wave of autocratization, often classifying such regimes as "electoral autocracies."
Many analysts and human rights organizations use terms like "authoritarian," "autocracy," or note the "birth of a new dictatorship." Bukele himself has sometimes jokingly referred to himself as "the world's coolest dictator."
In 2021, El Salvador became the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender alongside the US dollar. This move aimed to attract investment, lower remittance costs, and increase financial inclusion, but has faced international criticism and seen limited domestic uptake. El Salvador has also established a national Bitcoin reserve.
Bukele remains extremely popular, with approval ratings often cited near or above 80-90%. This popularity stems largely from the dramatic reduction in homicide rates and gang violence since the crackdown began. He won the 2024 election with an overwhelming majority (though the legality of his candidacy is contested).
Bukele remains extremely popular, with approval ratings often cited near or above 80-90%. This popularity stems largely from the dramatic reduction in homicide rates and gang violence since the crackdown began. He won the 2024 election with an overwhelming majority (though the legality of his candidacy is contested).
Unlike some classic dictatorships, El Salvador still holds elections, and opposition parties were allowed to compete, although critics argue the playing field was heavily tilted and lacked fairness due to state resource abuse and institutional control. Some political scientists might classify it as a "competitive authoritarian" regime rather than a closed dictatorship.
While El Salvador maintains the facade of democratic processes like elections, President Bukele has overseen a significant erosion of democratic institutions, checks and balances, and civil liberties. The concentration of power in the executive, the disregard for constitutional limits on re-election, the prolonged suspension of fundamental rights under the state of exception, and widespread reports of human rights abuses have led many domestic and international observers to classify the country as authoritarian or autocratic.
Whether it strictly meets every definition of a "dictatorship" is debated, but it has clearly moved away from democratic norms and exhibits strong dictatorial characteristics. The situation reflects a severe case of democratic backsliding where popular support for security measures has come at the cost of fundamental rights and democratic governance.
While El Salvador maintains the facade of democratic processes like elections, President Bukele has overseen a significant erosion of democratic institutions, checks and balances, and civil liberties. The concentration of power in the executive, the disregard for constitutional limits on re-election, the prolonged suspension of fundamental rights under the state of exception, and widespread reports of human rights abuses have led many domestic and international observers to classify the country as authoritarian or autocratic.
Whether it strictly meets every definition of a "dictatorship" is debated, but it has clearly moved away from democratic norms and exhibits strong dictatorial characteristics. The situation reflects a severe case of democratic backsliding where popular support for security measures has come at the cost of fundamental rights and democratic governance.
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Sounds very familiar...
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