How Serious Can An Outbreak Of Coronavirus COVID-19 Be?
Note: Viewer discretion is advised for some graphic scenes.
What's Happening Around The World Today
As of today (March 3 at 12 noon EST) there are 89,254 confirmed cases with 90% from mainland China, most in the Hubei Province epicenter where the city of Wuhan is located. The death rate in China appears at this time to be about 3 to 4 per 100 infected. As of today about 57% of those infected have recovered in mainland China.
4,335 South Koreans have tested positive with 26 deaths. 1,694 with 34 deaths in Italy. 978 in Iran with 54 deaths. The U.S. has 86 including two in Florida, with two deaths in the state of Washington. Seven of those 86 U.S. patients have recovered so far.
It appears that approximately 80% of the infected have mild-flu like symptoms and the incubation period is about four days before symptoms appear. If no symptoms appear after about 14 days it is presumed the individual is not infected or no longer infectious. The most vulnerable individuals at this time seem to be elderly, or people with existing medical issues; it does not seem that children are susceptible so far.
The death rates will vary depending on the quality of medical care in each country, and the quality or quantity of testing kits and facilities for testing as well as each country's standards for testing individuals for determining if COVID-19 is positive.
For example, it may be that China's death rate may be lower the approx. 3.5% if there are many more people who are positive but testing has not been done on everyone that might actually test positive. Iran's death rate so far is about 5%, but may be a factor of lower quality medical care or having less people tested that may actually be positive.
What's Happening Around The World Today
As of today (March 3 at 12 noon EST) there are 89,254 confirmed cases with 90% from mainland China, most in the Hubei Province epicenter where the city of Wuhan is located. The death rate in China appears at this time to be about 3 to 4 per 100 infected. As of today about 57% of those infected have recovered in mainland China.
4,335 South Koreans have tested positive with 26 deaths. 1,694 with 34 deaths in Italy. 978 in Iran with 54 deaths. The U.S. has 86 including two in Florida, with two deaths in the state of Washington. Seven of those 86 U.S. patients have recovered so far.
It appears that approximately 80% of the infected have mild-flu like symptoms and the incubation period is about four days before symptoms appear. If no symptoms appear after about 14 days it is presumed the individual is not infected or no longer infectious. The most vulnerable individuals at this time seem to be elderly, or people with existing medical issues; it does not seem that children are susceptible so far.
The death rates will vary depending on the quality of medical care in each country, and the quality or quantity of testing kits and facilities for testing as well as each country's standards for testing individuals for determining if COVID-19 is positive.
For example, it may be that China's death rate may be lower the approx. 3.5% if there are many more people who are positive but testing has not been done on everyone that might actually test positive. Iran's death rate so far is about 5%, but may be a factor of lower quality medical care or having less people tested that may actually be positive.
No comments:
Post a Comment